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2015 Duck Commander 500 Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks - Top Sleepers at Texas Motor Speedway

2015 Duck Commander 500 Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks – Top Sleepers at Texas Motor Speedway

2015 Duck Commander 500 Odds, Predictions & Expert Picks – Top Sleepers at Texas Motor Speedway: Although plenty of big names have won races at Texas Motor Speedway, the track has seen several different drivers visit victory lane over the years. In fact, 11 different drivers have combined to win the last 16 races at the track. With that in mind, there are plenty drivers capable of stepping up and upsetting the frontrunners at Texas this weekend. Here is a closer look at some of the top sleepers for the Duck Commander 500.

It has been a slow start to the 2015 season for Tony Stewart, but he has started to show signs of life in recent weeks. He has also been strong at Texas throughout his career. In addition to his two wins at the track, Stewart finished 10th and 11th in two starts at Texas last year despite struggling overall. He could break out of his slump in a big way this weekend. Stewart currently has 33/1 longshot odds to win the Duck Commander 500 on our NASCAR betting odds page.

Although it hasn’t been the best start to the year for Greg Biffle, there is something about Texas that always seems to bring out the best in him. He is a two-time winner at the track, and he has reeled off 13 straight finishes of 13th or better at the track. During the same stretch, Biffle has amassed 11 top-10 finishes, including seven top-five finishes. Whenever the series stops at Texas, Biffle can make some noise.

The sample size is small, but Kyle Larson has flashed plenty of upside at Texas already. In two starts at the track as a rookie last year, he recorded finishes of fifth and seventh. By the end of last season, Larson was one of the best drivers in the series at 1.5-mile tracks, and he could be headed to his first career Cup win this weekend.

He has finished in the top 15 in five of his last seven starts at Texas, and Martin Truex Jr. has finished as high as second at the track during the stretch. More importantly, he is off to an incredible start in 2015, and he is one of just three drivers that have finished in the Top 10 in all six races so far this season. He also finished second at Las Vegas a few weeks ago, and Texas shares a similar 1.5-mile layout to Vegas.

Since returning from his suspension, Kurt Busch has wasted no time flexing his muscles. He owns a 7.3 average finish in three starts, logging two top-five finishes and finishing in the top 15 at Martinsville despite losing power steering. Busch is also a former winner at Texas, and he finished in the top 10 at the track last fall.

His recent numbers at Texas aren’t very exciting, but David Ragan was a consistent top-15 driver at the track early in his career when he drove for Roush Fenway Racing. He will have some strong equipment to work with this weekend as he subs for Kyle Busch, and Ragan will actually be driving for a No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing team that has finished fourth or better in four of the last five starts at the track.

Texas has been one of A.J. Allmendinger’s better tracks throughout his career, and in his last nine starts, he has piled up six top-15 finishes, including a 14th-place finish last fall. Perhaps more importantly, Allmendinger has shown some serious speed at 1.5-mile tracks so far this season, notching top-10s at Atlanta and Las Vegas. Allmendinger and his team have made major strides at the bigger ovals, and it could pay big dividends at a track where he has already enjoyed plenty of success.

2015 Duck Commander 500 Prediction: Jimmie Johnson to WIN at 11/2 odds at Bovada Sportsbook

Odds to win the 2015 Duck Commander 500 @ Texas Motor Speedway
Kevin Harvick #4
17/4
Jimmie Johnson #48
11/2
Kurt Busch #41
6/1
Matt Kenseth #20
8/1
Brad Keselowski #2
10/1
Dale Earnhardt Jr. #88
10/1
Jeff Gordon #24
10/1
Joey Logano #22
10/1
Denny Hamlin #11
12/1
Carl Edwards #19
14/1
Martin Truex Jr. #78
14/1
Kasey Kahne #5
20/1
Kyle Larson #42
20/1
Ryan Newman #31
22/1
Tony Stewart #14
33/1
Clint Bowyer #15
40/1
David Ragan #18
50/1
Greg Biffle #16
50/1
Jamie McMurray #1
50/1
Paul Menard #27
50/1
Ryan Blaney #21
100/1
A.J. Allmendinger #47
200/1
Aric Almirola #43
200/1
Austin Dillon #3
200/1
Danica Patrick #10
200/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. #17
200/1
Brett Moffitt #55
300/1
Casey Mears #13
300/1
Sam Hornish Jr. #9
300/1
Justin Allgaier #51
500/1
Trevor Bayne #6
500/1
Alex Bowman #7
1000/1
Brendan Gaughan #62
1000/1
Brian Scott #33
1000/1
Chris Buescher #34
1000/1
Cole Whitt #35
1000/1
David Gilliland #38
1000/1
J.J Yeley #23
1000/1
Jeb Burton #26
1000/1
Josh Wise #98
1000/1
Landon Cassill #40
1000/1
Matt Dibenedetto #83
1000/1
Michael Annett #46
1000/1
Mike Bliss #32
1000/1
Mike McDowell #95
1000/1
Travis Kvapil #39
1000/1

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